The Sena stands diminished. Its leaders look like simple, straightforward people around whom those who belong to the tribe of Chanakya run circles.
The NCP stares at the beginning of its end. This is regardless of whether Ajit Pawar defected to the BJP’s side with the blessings of his uncle, Sharad Pawar, or not. If he took the plunge on his own, he has split the NCP and weakened the party irretrievably. If he went across to the BJP with Sharad Pawar’s silent blessings, the NCP forsakes the non-sectarian space it had vied with the Congress to occupy.
The BJP comes out on top. Amoral, no doubt, but not more than the rivals who had sought to gang up against it, regardless of their own ideological differences.
A surprise beneficiary of these shenanigans is the Congress. With the Sena and the NCP reduced to pale shadows of Balasaheb Thackeray and Sharad Pawar, that, too, shadows at high noon, the Congress can potentially occupy most of the Opposition space in the state. But for the party to do that, it would have to entrust leadership to popular leaders with grassroots connect like Ashok Chavan, not those with wheedling proximity to the Gandhis.
Moneylaundering cases against Ajit Pawar and enforcement directorate moves against Sharad Pawar before the elections testify to the use of government machinery in aid of the ruling party. The alleged launderer of money is now a worthy ally eligible to hold the post of deputy chief minister. It is also not clear if the Governor insisted on the written support of NCP legislators to accede to Fadnavis’ claim that he had a majority, before swearing him in.
Why did Modi-Shah allow this drama to play out so long? Why couldn’t they have struck their deal with Pawar immediately after the Sena announced its determination to get the chief minister’s post? The intervening drama has helped the BJP.
The Congress swallowing its antipathy to Shiv Sena’s Hindutva ideology and cobbling together a front to form the next government in Maharashtra helps the BJP. The party can claim that the Congress is an unprincipled party and that its objections to Hindutva is a sham. People like Owaisi would amplify that message.
In politics, you are nowhere if you stand neither for your principles nor succeed in grabbing power. The Shiv Sena has been pushed to that unenviable space by a week’s fruitless negotiations with the NCP and the Congress. The Sena’s followers could well think of switching their loyalties to the BJP.
The NCP enjoys power in the state for the time being. But as the BJP’s junior partner. Its long-term prospects have been damaged. The BJP now has to contend with the Congress in the state, in the main.
For the Congress, it is an immediate setback, but not much of one. Has it forsaken its claim to be secular opposition to the BJP, by virtue of being willing to ally with the Sena? Not really. If it was possible to keep the BJP out of Maharashtra, even by allying with a BJP fellow traveller, it would have been silly for the Congress to not utilise that possibility. Politics is about using power to a specific end. Denying power to the most effective champion of the end diametrically opposed to the one you seek is part of your politics, and if that means grabbing a slice of power along with those who have broken off from your rival, it would be ridiculous to forgo that opportunity.
The Congress would take some flak in Kerala from the Left, its ally in West Bengal. But in Maharashtra and Uttar Pradesh, the BJP has weakened the regional parties that had taken away the Congress’ traditional clout, making it easier for the Congress to grow. If it has the will to.
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16 Comments on this Story
INDIAN 458 days ago
Yeah.In politics don''t you think targeting only opposition is exactly same as dictatorship? Writer shamelessly wrote before election raids on pawars is patriotic act..I clearly see it i blackmailing act.. MODI and shah era blackmailing is happening like crook who black mail married women from the dirt before marriage!!!It can''t go lower than this..If things continue like this I am not sure How they can hold INDIA together?
Ekambaram Ravishankar458 days ago
Excellent article! The best I have read on the subject last two days. "In politics, you are nowhere if you stand neither for your principles nor succeed in grabbing power" is a very profound line for political leaders. This depicts precisely the no man''s land situation of Congress and Sivasena.
Ravindran Subramanyam459 days ago
The cunning Sharad Pawar has tacitly approved Ajit Pawar''s alliance with BJP with about half the NCP MLAs. Now he is doing a"Deve Gowda act" stating it was done without his knowledge like what happened in Karnataka when Kumaraswamy aligned with BJP!!!! However, BJP has committed a huge blunder aligning with megacorrupt Ajit Pawar. BJP has proved themselves to be as opportunistic and cunning like NCP and Congress. This will send a wrong signal to the electorate that BJP has forsaken its lofty principles of being against minority and muslim appeasement. Now BJP will be forced to toe the NCP policy of being soft on terrorists, support to mass murderers like D- company, turning a blind eye to NCP''s megacorruption and hawala deals. This will result in a huge security threat to Maharashtra especially Mumbai. Eternal vigilance is the price of freedom and will BJP compromise on its vigilance against Pakistani and Rohingiya terrorists remains to be seen. There is every possibility that Hindus will be under threat in Maharashtra along with their places of worship. Wiil the home minister of India be vigilant enough to effectively contain the threats to the life and property in Mumbai remains to be seen??