MCX natural gas prices were up 17 per cent in 2020, settling at Rs.182.1 per MMBTU on December 31.
For more permanent comfort, India must reduce its vulnerabilities to commodity prices by producing more in India. Not just in 2021, but in every year from now.
OPEC+ will further ease its supply restrictions in January by adding an extra 500,000 barrels per day, although the easing is more gradual than previously agreed, to provide additional support to the market.
Factors like lower interest rates, negative US real yields, hopes over mega stimulus packages to overcome the impact of Covid-19 and the trajectory of the dollar index will remain in focus for the next 6-12 months.
There is no change in the policy of central banks going into the New Year and rising Covid infections is a cherry on cake for global investors to increase their interest in the yellow metal.
Let’s find out what is bringing in hordes of investors to such unconventional investment instruments, especially commodities.
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We expect silver prices remain volatile in short to medium term and could test its key support levels of Rs 55,000 per one kilogram in the short term.
There is more room for correction from the current levels of Rs 210 levels as prices now are very close to resistance zones of Rs 220-mark.
Falling Zinc production amid significant growth in demand from China might continue to support the prices.
In the past, it’s been difficult for investors to make money in commodity stocks because either they have invested in times when stock prices have already moved up sharply or they have invested in companies that do not show capital discipline, taking huge borrowings, generate low free cash flows and have low shareholder payout.
The rally in equities might fizzle out sooner than markets anticipate and if that happens, oil markets will face stronger heat and WTI oil prices might fall towards $36.
After collapsing in the early months of 2020, base metal prices recovered on the back of a stellar recovery in China’s economy (since Q2 -2020) whilst the rest of the world continued to struggle taming the novel coronavirus.
It fell further Wednesday, as low as $1,863 an ounce, breaking the back of an extraordinary rally. Since smashing through a long-term ceiling of around $1,350 a troy ounce last June, it had risen to a record of $2,064 an ounce earlier this month.
The impressive bull run was majorly supported by three pillars: stellar recovery in China’s economy, mounting strains on supply from key producers and massive stimulus programmes by global central banks.
Natural gas is a traders paradise and volatility is going to be the key in the coming sessions as we move into winter in the US, which will start from October onwards.
coronavirus crisis may have triggered the long-anticipated tipping point in oil demand and it is focusing minds in OPEC.